BKO158 at Planetary Qualifier Radcliff

melee.gg
Planetary Premier April 25, 2026 Record 3-2-1 Field 44
Rating after 1,384
+56
Rating before 1,328 RD 126
Rating after 1,384 RD 115
Effective multiplier 1.0× weighted avg
Performance 1,616 vs field +33
Field strength Mean 1,583 · Median 1,522 · 44 rated 54th Percentile Planetaries, 2026 Q2

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 6 matches 3-2-1 +56.5 1.0× +0.0 +56.5 1384
Total 3-2-1 +56.5 1384
Biggest upset Beat Charlieeee B 1482 at 37% odds / surprise +0.63
Costliest loss Lost to djb299 1409 at 43% odds / surprise -0.43 / +51 swing

Matches (6)

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1409~ djb299 Loss 43% 0-2 1.0× -22.0 Swiss
R2 1263 JadenSkywalker32 Win 55% 2-0 1.0× +23.2 Swiss
R3 1566~ YurGreatness Draw 31% 1-1 1.0× +9.5 Swiss
R4 1417~ Swally1993 Win 43% 2-0 1.0× +29.2 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 43% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 170, true skill could span ±341).
R5 1920 NoahG1212 Loss 12% 1-2 1.0× -6.3 Swiss
R6 1482 Charlieeee B Win 37% 2-1 1.0× +32.9 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 37% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect.
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