Avestator at Planetary Qualifier Warsaw

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Planetary Premier April 19, 2026 Record 2-2-0 Field 63
Rating after 2,128
-29
Rating before 2,157 RD 94
Rating after 2,128 RD 93
Effective multiplier 1.0× weighted avg
Performance 1,766 vs field +172
Field strength Mean 1,594 · Median 1,544 · 63 rated 74th Percentile Planetaries, 2026 Q2

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 4 matches 2-2 -28.9 1.0× +0.0 -28.9 2128
Total 2-2-0 -28.9 2128
Toughest win Beat grzessam 1544 at 89% odds
Costliest loss Lost to StingPL 1848 at 74% odds / surprise -0.74 / +31 swing

Matches (4)

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1544 grzessam Win 89% 2-1 1.0× +3.4 Swiss
R2 2225 Beton Loss 44% 1-2 1.0× -13.5 Swiss
R3 1481~ Wosho Win 91% 2-0 1.0× +2.9 Swiss
R4 1848 StingPL Loss 74% 1-2 1.0× -22.8 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted 74% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins.
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