Arteiris at Planetary Qualifier Yuma

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Planetary Limited April 25, 2026 Record 5-2-1 Field 43
Rating after 1,685
+116
Rating before 1,569 RD 160
Rating after 1,685 RD 134
Effective multiplier 0.97× weighted avg
Performance 1,817 vs field +242
Field strength Mean 1,575 · Median 1,552 · 42 rated 46th Percentile Planetaries, 2026 Q2

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 6 matches 4-1-1 +84.7 1.0× +0.0 +84.7 1654
Quarterfinals · 1 match 1-0 +34.3 1.12× 1.00 · +0.12 +4.1 +38.4 1687
Semifinals · 1 match 0-1 -30.7 0.73× 1.00 · -0.27 +8.3 -22.4 1661
Top-cut bonus Tier-scaled additive ‧ Planetary at 43 +15.0 1676
Total 5-2-1 +115.7 1685
Biggest upset Beat WhiteFlex 1678 at 41% odds / surprise +0.59
Costliest loss Lost to llopez101 1563 at 60% odds / surprise -0.6 / +77 swing

Matches (8)

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1516~ Maclunkey Win 54% 2-0 1.0× +36.8 Swiss
R2 1500~ Tommycallahan123 Loss 55% 0-2 1.0× -42.4 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted 55% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 250, true skill could span ±500).
R3 1436~ MagicalSinner Win 61% 2-0 1.0× +31.9 Swiss
R4 1438~ Beeb Win 61% 2-0 1.0× +32.0 Swiss
R5 1678~ WhiteFlex Win 41% 2-0 1.0× +47.7 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 41% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 152, true skill could span ±304).
R6 1695 CBG_Taylor Draw 0-0 1.0× ±0.0 Swiss
QF 1616~ CBG_Ruben Win 53% 2-1 1.12× +49.3 Top Cut
Semis 1563~ llopez101 Loss 60% 0-2 0.73× -29.8 Top Cut
Glicko-2 predicted 60% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 152, true skill could span ±304).
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