AriaRiver at Planetary Qualifier Wynnum

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Planetary Premier April 26, 2026 Record 3-2-1

Rating after 1,586

-63

Rating before 1,648 RD 179

Rating after 1,586 RD 151

Effective multiplier 1.0×

Performance 1,456

Field strength Mean 1,564 · Median 1,551 · 48 rated

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Shape D top-cut adjustments QF SF F Wins +0.12 +0.18 +0.25 Losses -0.18 -0.27 -0.35

Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Start 1648 → Swiss 1586 -62.5

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page

Quarterfinals

Rookie2222 0

Doovelle 2

BDST_Zerolimit 2

Lily Hill 0

ThatsFine 0

BDST_Tivey 2

cayliss 2

brettc 1

Semifinals

Doovelle 2

BDST_Zerolimit 1

BDST_Tivey 2

cayliss 1

Finals

Doovelle 0

BDST_Tivey 2

See full bracket on the event page →

Swiss · 6 matches 3-2-1 -62.5 1.0× +0.0 -62.5 1586

Total 3-2-1 -62.5 1586

Toughest win Beat Rachael11 1369 at 72% odds

Costliest loss Lost to Brian Evans 1336 at 74% odds / surprise -0.74 /

Matches (6)

R1 Leigh Casson Win 2-0 1.0× Swiss

R2 Brian Evans Loss 0-2 1.0× Swiss

R3 ice_man Draw 1-1 1.0× -24.1 Swiss

R4 JacksonM Loss 0-2 1.0× Swiss

R5 Rachael11 Win 2-0 1.0× Swiss

R6 dylan solomon Win 2-0 1.0× Swiss