Rankings / Alexbonnell894 / Planetary Qualifier CONROE

Alexbonnell894 at Planetary Qualifier CONROE

melee.gg
Planetary Premier April 25, 2026 Record 1-3-1 Field 55
Rating after 1,504
-57
Rating before 1,561 RD 104
Rating after 1,504 RD 99
Effective multiplier 1.0× weighted avg
Performance 1,213 vs field -375
Field strength Mean 1,588 · Median 1,561 · 55 rated 62nd Percentile Planetaries, 2026 Q2

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Quarterfinals
Gungang_Istvan 2
Mark Fichtel 0
CoolBowTiesAre 0
CannedIce 2
marshhhh 0
Gold630 2
vakarian 1
JElliot 2
Semifinals
Gungang_Istvan 2
CannedIce 0
Gold630 2
JElliot 0
Finals
Gungang_Istvan 2
Gold630 0
See full bracket on the event page →
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 5 matches 1-3-1 -41.8 1.0× +0.0 -41.8 1519
Total 1-3-1 -57.2 1504
Biggest upset Beat jabbavert 1500 at 55% odds / surprise +0.45
Costliest loss Lost to CaramelGoodness 1264 at 73% odds / surprise -0.73 / +36 swing

Matches (5)

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R2 1453~ JakeBonnell Draw 59% 1-1 1.0× -3.1 Swiss
R3 1500~ nickarist Loss 55% 0-2 1.0× -18.4 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted 55% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 250, true skill could span ±500).
R4 ▼ 1264~ CaramelGoodness Loss 73% 0-2 1.0× -26.4 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted 73% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 138, true skill could span ±276).
R5 ▲ 1500~ jabbavert Win 55% 2-1 1.0× +15.2 Swiss
R6 1709 Crimmy Loss 38% 0-2 1.0× -13.7 Swiss

Per-match multipliers reflect what the engine applied at the time this snapshot was recorded. The Effective Multiplier above is a delta-weighted average across all phases — Finals matches swing the headline more than Swiss rounds when they produced bigger rating changes. How it works.

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