Rafał Tarnowski at Planetary Qualifier Warsaw

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Planetary Premier April 19, 2026 Record 4-2-0 Field 63
Rating after 1,798
+4
Rating before 1,794 RD 82
Rating after 1,798 RD 80
Effective multiplier 1.0× weighted avg
Performance 1,836 vs field +242
Field strength Mean 1,594 · Median 1,544 · 63 rated 74th Percentile Planetaries, 2026 Q2

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 6 matches 4-2 +3.9 1.0× +0.0 +3.9 1798
Total 4-2-0 +3.9 1798
Biggest upset Beat Marchewa 1709 at 57% odds / surprise +0.43
Costliest loss Lost to Harrison_Solo 1750 at 54% odds / surprise -0.54 / +23 swing

Matches (6)

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1366 Oyabin Win 81% 2-1 1.0× +4.5 Swiss
R2 1849 Erik Eroth Kaleta Loss 45% 0-2 1.0× -10.8 Swiss
R3 1277~ KhasteR Win 84% 2-0 1.0× +3.6 Swiss
R4 1677~ Zaglobamlodszy Win 60% 2-0 1.0× +9.4 Swiss
R5 1709 Marchewa Win 57% 2-0 1.0× +10.1 Swiss
R6 1750~ Harrison_Solo Loss 54% 0-2 1.0× -12.6 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted 54% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 125, true skill could span ±249).
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