Adjcass at Planetary Qualifier Cape Town

melee.gg
Planetary Premier April 25, 2026 Record 3-2-1 Field 22
Rating after 1,532
+106
Rating before 1,426 RD 187
Rating after 1,532 RD 159
Effective multiplier 0.98× weighted avg
Performance 1,738 vs field +212
Field strength Mean 1,526 · Median 1,500 · 22 rated 12th Percentile Planetaries, 2026 Q2

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +8 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 5 matches 3-1-1 +129.4 1.0× +0.0 +129.4 1556
Quarterfinals · 1 match 0-1 -34.6 0.91× 1.00 · -0.09 +3.1 -31.5 1519
Top-cut bonus Tier-scaled additive ‧ Planetary at 22 +8.0 1527
Total 3-2-1 +106.0 1532
Biggest upset Beat Joshua Pietersen 1500 at 44% odds / surprise +0.56
Toughest win Beat Henteezy 1500 at 44% odds
Costliest loss Lost to UnableToWin 1581 at 48% odds / surprise -0.48 / +107 swing

Matches (6)

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1430~ RocketLight Win 50% 2-0 1.0× +53.4 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 50% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 157, true skill could span ±313).
R2 1500~ Henteezy Win 44% 2-0 1.0× +56.4 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 44% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 250, true skill could span ±500).
R3 2029~ luka8luka Loss 12% 0-2 1.0× -13.2 Swiss
R4 1500~ Joshua Pietersen Win 44% 2-0 1.0× +58.7 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 44% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 187, true skill could span ±373).
R5 1677~ john196 Draw 0-0 1.0× ±0.0 Swiss
QF 1581~ UnableToWin Loss 48% 0-2 0.91× -36.2 Top Cut
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