ATrueProphecy at Planetary Qualifier Garden City

melee.gg
Planetary Premier April 25, 2026 Record 3-3-0 Field 62
Rating after 1,693
-26
Rating before 1,720 RD 90
Rating after 1,693 RD 87
Effective multiplier 1.0× weighted avg
Performance 1,475 vs field -67
Field strength Mean 1,542 · Median 1,513 · 62 rated 13th Percentile Planetaries, 2026 Q2

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 6 matches 3-3 -26.5 1.0× +0.0 -26.5 1693
Total 3-3-0 -26.5 1693
Toughest win Beat JasonBursach 1422 at 72% odds
Costliest loss Lost to rygar 1500 at 67% odds / surprise -0.67 / +26 swing

Matches (6)

Odds is the pre-match win probability the system gave you. Δ is the approximate per-match rating change — Glicko-2 batches matches per phase, so these are intuitive estimates, not the authoritative phase total above.

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1422~ JasonBursach Win 72% 2-0 1.0× +7.3 Swiss
R2 1351~ Eric Fowler Win 77% 2-1 1.0× +6.2 Swiss
R3 1636~ Brendon Edwards Loss 57% 1-2 1.0× -15.2 Swiss
R4 1411 Joshj Win 74% 2-0 1.0× +7.2 Swiss
R5 1500~ rygar Loss 67% 1-2 1.0× -17.0 Swiss
R6 1532~ Stuart Larsen Loss 65% 0-2 1.0× -17.3 Swiss
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