ASturtz99 at Planetary Qualifier Mechanicsburg

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Planetary Limited April 25, 2026 Record 2-2-0 Field 72
Rating after 1,581
-5
Rating before 1,586 RD 165
Rating after 1,581 RD 146
Effective multiplier 1.0× weighted avg
Performance 1,569 vs field +1
Field strength Mean 1,568 · Median 1,565 · 72 rated 38th Percentile Planetaries, 2026 Q2

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 4 matches 2-2 -5.3 1.0× +0.0 -5.3 1581
Total 2-2-0 -5.3 1581
Biggest upset Beat LoganBrown 1456 at 61% odds / surprise +0.39
Costliest loss Lost to Chameh 1562 at 52% odds / surprise -0.52 / +86 swing

Matches (4)

Odds is the pre-match win probability the system gave you. Δ is the approximate per-match rating change — Glicko-2 batches matches per phase, so these are intuitive estimates, not the authoritative phase total above.

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1415~ stickpiano Win 64% 2-1 1.0× +30.4 Swiss
R2 1456~ LoganBrown Win 61% 2-1 1.0× +33.7 Swiss
R3 1852 MCG_Tyler_Mersing Loss 29% 1-2 1.0× -25.3 Swiss
R4 1562 Chameh Loss 52% 1-2 1.0× -44.9 Swiss
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